Wednesday, February 16, 2011

Spring-like

The title says it all.  It will feel spring-like the next few days.  An area of high pressure will slide through the Northeast today turning our winds from a northerly direction to a southwesterly wind.  This will bring warmer air into the lower levels of the atmosphere.  Also on the back side of this high pressure a warm front will be making its way through New England today.  This will only have some cloudiness associated with it, but will enhance the temperature moderation.

This warm front is attached to a low pressure system that is currently in the Northern Plains.  Until this storm system reaches the Northeast on Friday night, we will enjoy well above normal temperatures and a decent amount of sunshine.  Today, highs will top out in the low to mid 40s in Southern New England with mid and upper 30s to near 40 in Central and Northern New England.  The warm up continues tomorrow as we will start the day relatively mild with lows in the 20s and low 30s.  This warmer start, as opposed to the single digits and teens this morning, will allow for warmer high temperatures during the day.  I expect to see most of the Southern and Central New England reaching at least 50 degrees with 40s in Northern New England on Thursday.

As the storm system gets closer on Friday we will see a bit more cloudiness.  This will inhibit the warm up slightly on Friday, but most places should still hit 50 degrees, if not the mid 50s.  If we had full sunshine on Friday, many places would reach the 60s.  There probably will be a few places that achieve this, and if it happens it will likely be in Southeastern Massachusetts.  Our best chance of any precipitation will be with the cold front that will push through the region on Friday night.  There shouldn't be all that much moisture associated with the front, so many areas will stay dry.  Highest chances for any rain showers will be in Northern New England Friday evening.

The downside to this cold front will be the blast of cold air behind it.  It looks like we have a pattern developing here and the models are indicating this as well.  We'll see a warm up for a couple days and then 3 to 5 days of chilly temperatures, followed by another warm up and then a cool down.  So it still appears that the overall weather pattern remains active across the United States, we just aren't see the abundant precipitation we were during January.

For this upcoming weekend, it will be chilly and windy with a few scattered snow showers and flurries around.  High temps in the 30s for the most part.  Our next significant chance of a plowable snow will come on Tuesday night.  Models are still a little sporadic with the track of this storm, but more are now indicating a mostly snow event at this time.  I'm keeping my eyes on it!

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

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