Friday, February 18, 2011

One more day...

After a downright beautiful day yesterday, we'll squeak one more out today before the chill returns tomorrow.  Temperatures yesterday were about 5 degrees warmer in many spots than I expected, which is fine with me, warmer is better than colder.  I think that warmth will carry over today so it looks like it will be warmer than I thought today as well.

Looking at the satelitte imagery this morning, there is some cloudiness around, but not nearly as much as the models think there is.  That being the case, we are going to see more sunshine than was originally thought, so temperatures should be warmer.  I now expect many places in Southern New England to reach 60 degrees this afternoon.  Futher to the north, look for 50s in Central New England with upper 40s to near 50 in Northern New England.  A few showers are possible as well today, especially in Central and Northern New England.

We will still have a cold front blast through the region tonight.  This will usher in cooler temperatures tomorrow along with gusty northwest winds, wind advisories have been posted in Southern New England as a result.  Temperatures may touch 40 in a few spots tomorrow, but we'll be stuck in the 30s for the most part.  I wouldn't rule out a few flurries or rain showers either.  Any warming that happens at the surface will rise quickly into the colder air aloft.  This should create some instability in the lower atmosphere and may kick off some precipitation.

Sunday will be similar to Saturday, without the threat of isolated flurries and showers.  It should still be breezy and cool.  Our next significant weather system arrives on Monday.  As I mentioned yesterday, the models were starting to come together with a consensus for this system.  They continue this and the solution is still on the cold side with the storm system passing to our south.  This could obviously change, but my confidence in seeing more snow than rain with this storm is increasing.  Again, it is still a little early to be overly specific, but right now south of Boston I expect rain, a wintry between Boston and the NH border and then all snow north of there.  I'll keep you updated.

The middle part of next week should be quiet, but cool.  Another brief warm up is coming late next week, but it looks like this warm up will come with rain.  We shouldn't get too concerned yet, but if this is the case, there could be some flooding problems next Friday and Saturday.

More to come, enjoy this beautiful day!

Thanks for reading and don't be afraid to share this blog!  :-)  (shameless self promotion)

-Jon K.

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