Friday, February 11, 2011

Come on melting!

Not too much to discuss this morning, that's a good thing.  The overall weather pattern here in the Northeast will remain relatively quiet through the weekend.  There will be the chance of a few rain or snow showers, but nothing significant.

We'll see a decent amount of sunshine today, there may be some cloudiness that develops as we head into the afternoon.  Temperatures will still be on the chilly side, generally in the 20s with a few spots hitting the low 30s, mainly in southern areas.

Saturday will begin with a bit of cloudiness and maybe a few flurries or snow showers.  Most of this activity will be centered in the higher elevations of the New England.  Other than that, temperatures will be a bit milder, low to mid 30s in Southern New England with upper 20s in Northern New England.  Sunday will also bring the slight chance of some snow showers, especially late in the day.  There may be a few rain drops mixed in with the snow at times.  This activity will be quite isolated.  Look for temperatures to be a couple degrees higher than Saturday's highs.

Monday will likely be the best chance for a widespread precipitation event.  Temperatures are going to be near or above freezing, so there might be some mixing.  For the most part, this will be a heavy wet snow for much of New England.  Accumulations still look to be on the low side, I'll provide more information on this later in the weekend.  The path of this low has been jumping around a little bit in the forecast models, I'll wait for them to come to more of a consensus before I get too detailed.

The best news will be the temperature moderation that will come late next week and next weekend.  It will be exactly what we need, and deserve.  The whole atmospheric set up will flip for a few days bringing up southerly winds.  This will force some warmer air to move in starting on Wednesday.  Exactly how long this set up will last is still in question, but I expect it to stay mild through Saturday.  During this time it also looks like it will be dry so we should see a good deal of melting.  This crucial because in most places, there is 5+ inches of liquid sitting in the snow pack.  If we were to get a warm rain, flooding would be a major concern.  I know I keep harping on this, but if we have a March like we did last year, it's not going to be pretty for low lying areas and people near rivers and streams.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

P.S. - I've added some share buttons to my blog, if you feel like someone else might like to get their weather from me, please share!  Thanks!

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