Quick shot of snow this morning, should be ending around the middle of the day. This will give snow removal crews plenty of time to have the roads clear by the evening commute. So far, snow amounts look like they are going to fall nicely into the range that I forecasted yesterday. Once the snow ends today, temperatures will spike up a bit, upper 20s to near 30 in Southern New England, reaching the 20s in Central and Northern New England.
As this storm system slides off shore today, an area of high pressure will be building southward from Canada. In order for this high to build in, it will need to force its way and this will result in a windy day tomorrow. Temperatures will be cool, but made to feel a lot colder by the wind. Wind chills will be near 0 most of the day tomorrow, actual temperatures should range from the upper 20s to low 30s across New England.
High pressure remains in control through the day on Thursday, leading to a gradual warming trend on Wednesday and Thursday. We should see the 40s for most locations by Thursday afternoon. After this, our weather turns stormy again. A large area of low pressure will pass to the west of New England on Friday. This puts the area on the warm side of the storm, causing a mainly rain event. The big question is, what time will it start precipitating. If the storm arrives a little earlier than I'm seeing now, there could be an extended period of wintry mix. If it starts later, then it will be all rain. As it stands now, there probably will be a brief period of sleet or freezing rain in Southern Vermont and New Hampshire, a couple hours of a wintry mix in Central New England and then possible all freezing rain and sleet in Northern New England.
The other concern, aside from icing will be the potential for flooding. Right now, cloudiness and precipitation should keep it from getting too warm on Friday. Highs should only be in the 40s in Southern New England, colder as you go further north. If it turns out to be much warmer than the 40s, the chance of flooding goes up greatly. However, there also is the chance that the cold air doesn't get pushed out at the surface and then we are in for some serious icing. That is always the worry with these February storms that pass to our west. Will the warm southwest winds be strong enough to push the heavier cold air out? I'll be watching this closely.
This all goes down on Friday during the day. The upcoming weekend looks clear but cool. Another warm up coming next week with the next storm looking like a rain-maker.
Stay tuned and thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
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