Tuesday, June 28, 2011

Quick post today

More humid today, showers and thunderstorms possible tonight.

Today:  Partly sunny, muggy, highs in the low to mid 80s.

Tonight:  Showers and thunderstorms possible, especially after midnight, lows in the 60s south, upper 50s north.

Tomorrow:  Maybe a few left over showers early, then partial clearing, highs in the lower 80s south, upper 70s north.

Tomorrow night:  Clear to partly cloudy, lows near 60 south, low 50s north.

Thursday:  Partly sunny, chance of a few showers in Northern New England, highs near 80 south, 70 north.

Discussion:

High pressure is sliding out of the region today and this has turned our winds around to the southwest.  This will push higher levels of humidity into the area.  This will provide the fuel for a cold front that will move through New England overnight tonight and early tomorrow morning.  Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be associated with this front, mainly after midnight.

Once the front clears the region by mid morning tomorrow conditions will improve for most of the region.  It looks like there will still be a few lingering showers on Thursday for Northern New England, but southern areas will stay dry.  After Thursday our weather should be mainly dry right through the upcoming holiday weekend.  A stray shower or thunderstorm may be possible on Sunday and Monday afternoons, but nothing significant at this point.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

Monday, June 27, 2011

Summery

A great start to the week here in New England then some vast differences between North and South late in the week.

Today:  Lots of sunshine, mild, highs in the low to mid 80s north and south.

Tonight:  Mainly clear, lows in the lower 60s south, upper 40s to lower 50s north.

Tomorrow:  Mostly sunny to start then becoming partly sunny, chance of a late day shower or thunderstorm, highs in the low 80s north and south.

Tomorrow night:  Scattered showers and thunderstorms, lows in the low to mid 60s.

Wednesday:  Showers and thunderstorms ending in the morning south, still possible in Central and Northern New England, highs in the low 80s south, 70s north.

Discussion:

High pressure is in control of our weather to start the week here in New England.  This will supply clear skies and warm temperatures.  Sadly this won't last for more than a day and a half before another disturbance arrives late tomorrow.  After a comfortable day today, humidity wise, low level moisture will return tomorrow making for a more humid day tomorrow.  As the disturbance gets closer and with the moisture available at the surface, showers and thunderstorms will likely develop late in the afternoon.

If we see anything develop, it will be out ahead of the main area of wet weather.  Our best chance of unsettled weather will be overnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning.  Southern areas will clear out first and unfortunately it looks like wet weather chances will hang around for Northern New England right through the end of the work week.  The upper level low associated with the disturbance moving through tomorrow night will stall in Southern Quebec.  This will leave a few clouds around for Southern New England, but there should be some showers popping up at times across Northern areas.

So enjoy today and the first half of tomorrow!

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

Friday, June 24, 2011

It will get better

I promise our weather is improving, it's just taking awhile.

Today:  Cloudy, chance of a few showers, especially this afternoon, highs only in the low 60s.

Tonight:  Periods of rain, slight chance of a few rumbles of thunder, lows in the 50s.

Tomorrow:  Mainly cloudy, showers and thunderstorms possible, particularly in the afternoon, highs in the 70s south, near 70 north.

Tomorrow night:  Showers and thunderstorms taper off, partial clearing, lows in the 50s.

Sunday:  Partly sunny, finally dry, highs in the upper 70s to near 80.

Discussion:

There are just few widely scattered showers around New England this morning and these will continue to lift toward the northeast throughout the day.  Once they move out or fall apart, much of the region will stay dry until another round of rain develops across Northern PA and Upstate NY.  They are seeing sunshine there and this will set off a line of showers and thunderstorms that will move into the region late this afternoon and tonight.  By the time it reaches the cool, moist atmosphere here in New England, the majority of the thunderstorms will fall apart just leaving pockets of heavy downpours.

This batch of rain should be clear of New England by sunrise on Saturday and I think that just maybe, possibly, there could be a few breaks of sun tomorrow morning.  How much sun we see tomorrow will greatly impact how much rain develops during the day.  The more sun that breaks through, the more showers and thunderstorms that will develop.  With 3 straight days of rain, the low levels of the atmosphere are very moist.  With heating, this moisture will be lifted up in the atmosphere and will drive the development of more clouds along with showers and thunderstorms.  If we do see an extended period of sunshine, look for some of those thunderstorms to become severe during the afternoon.  Once the sun sets however on Saturday, the wet weather will begin to fall apart and then we can look forward to Sunday.

Sunday will feel like the nicest day we've had all year long after what we have put up with since Wednesday.  We should see a fair amount of sunshine and temperatures getting very close to 80 degrees.  The dry weather looks like it will continue into the first half of next week as well.  So just a little bit longer and then we can all go outside again.....

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

Thursday, June 23, 2011

Dreary

Unsettled weather remain in the forecast but we will see gradual improvement starting tomorrow.

Today:  Cloudy with showers and periods of drizzle and fog, highs in the 60s.

Tonight:  Cloudy with occasional rain, potentially heavy at times, lows in the 50s.

Tomorrow:  Mostly cloudy with the chance of a showers and maybe a few thunderstorms in the afternoon, highs in the mid and upper 60s south, near 60 north.

Tomorrow night:  Mainly cloudy, still a few showers possible, lows in the upper 50s south, lower 50s north.

Saturday:  Limited sunshine, showers and thunderstorms possible in the afternoon, highs near 70 south, mid and upper 60s north.

Discussion:

We are still under control of the low pressure system off to our west.  This will continue to rotate showers and periods of rain through New England through tonight and into tomorrow.  Some locations yesterday afternoon and overnight received a radar estimated 3" of rain, with a wide swath of 1+".  We needed a bit of rain here, but the fact that it is going to last for nearly 3 days is no fun for anyone.

During the day part today we should stay mostly dry.  Another round of showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms will approach the region later this afternoon.  By the time it reaches New England, most of the thunderstorms will have collapsed, but will still leave a large area of steady rain with pockets of heavy downpours.  Most of the rain should fall after the sun sets tonight, but will likely begin around the evening commute today.  It will be very similar to what we saw yesterday, but the rain will hold off a little longer than it did yesterday.  Again, most of the precipitation will be offshore on Friday morning.

Tomorrow will be a drier day, but we will still have the threat of showers and maybe a thunderstorm.  The biggest question is if the clouds will break up at all tomorrow.  If that does happen, some places will be much warmer than the 60s and with the amount of moisture in the atmosphere and the available energy, any thunderstorms that do develop will have the ability to become severe.  Right now, I'm not expecting too much sunshine, but again it's not out of the realm of possibility.

We will see some sunshine on Saturday and as a result we will have showers and thunderstorms developing as it warms up during the day.  Fortunately once these fall apart with the setting sun on Saturday, our weather will turn drier to finish out the weekend and into the beginning of next week.  It looks like we might have one or two days next week with chances for showers and thunderstorms, but nothing like what we are dealing with right now.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

Wednesday, June 22, 2011

Cooler and wetter

Unsettled weather is on tap for the next few days here across New England.

Today:  Mostly cloudy with the chance of a few showers, mainly a dry day though, highs in the 70s north and south.

Tonight:  Periods of rain, maybe a few thunderstorms, lows around 60 south, 50s north.

Tomorrow:  Mainly cloudy, chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially in the late afternoon, highs in the 60s north and south.

Tomorrow night:  Cloudy with showers possible, lows in the upper 50s north and south.

Friday:  Cloudy with the chance of more showers, maybe a few thunderstorms, highs in the low 70s.

Discussion:

Well it looks like the wet weather is arriving about 12 hours earlier than I expected.  Showers and a line of thunderstorms and downpours are moving into the region, weakening along the way.  This will likely not hold together to reach Eastern areas, but Western and Southern areas have already had some rain this morning.  I don't think we'll see much more rain during the day today once this batch clears the region or dissipates.  Tonight however will be a different story.  It's looking like there will be an area heavy downpours and thunderstorms approaching tonight.  Many areas need this rain as it has been pretty dry across New England over the last month.

The rain that will move through tonight should be mainly out of the picture by tomorrow morning.  Again it looks like the daylight hours of Thursday will be generally dry with just the chance of a few isolated showers.  Then we'll repeat the process and see another round of steady rain slide in Thursday evening into the overnight hours.  After this we should start to dry out slightly.  Showers and thunderstorms will remain the forecast through the afternoon on Saturday, but decreasing in numbers and coverage along the way.  Temperatures will start to creep back up on Friday and Saturday and we should be back into the 80s for Sunday.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

Tuesday, June 21, 2011

Warm and dry

Conditions will remain warm and dry through tomorrow.

Today:  Partly sunny, highs in the low to mid 80s south, upper 70s north.

Tonight:  Partly cloudy, lows in the upper 50s to low 60s south, 40s north.

Tomorrow:  Occasional sun then becoming cloudy in the afternoon, highs in the upper 70s north and south.

Tomorrow night:  Cloudy with the chance of showers, lows in the upper 50s south, low 50s north.

Thursday:  Cloudy with showers likely and the chance of thunderstorms, highs in the 60s.

Discussion:

High pressure will stay in control of our weather through tonight and then an approaching warm front will but a damper on things.  Plenty of sunshine, warm temperatures and low humidity will persist into tomorrow afternoon, so enjoy it while you can.  Clouds will increase during the day tomorrow as the warm front advances closer to the region.  It looks like any shower activity should hold off until tomorrow night.

Once the warm front sets up across New England, our temperatures will cool down considerably.  An easterly wind will see to this.  The front will slowly drift across the region on Wednesday night and Thursday bringing the threat of on and off showers.  Not a steady all day rain, but periodic showers and maybe a couple of thunderstorms.  Eventually the warm front will essentially disappate and then the surface low moves in.  This will keep the threat of wet weather in the forecast through Friday and into the upcoming weekend.  It will not be a washout by any stretch of the imagination, but conditions will be favorable for showers and thunderstorms to develop at any time Thursday through Saturday afternoon.  Sunday looks like the better of the two weekend days at this point.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

Friday, June 17, 2011

Rain today, not too bad for the weekend

We have a batch of rain moving through today, then not looking too bad for this weekend.

Today:  Mostly cloudy, showers and a few thunderstorms possible, especially in Southern New England, highs in the mid and upper 70s.

Tonight:  Partly to mostly cloudy, slight chance of a few showers, lows in the upper 50s to low 60s.

Tomorrow:  Periods of sun, a few showers and thunderstorms will develop during the middle of the day and continue into the late afternoon, highs near 80.

Tomorrow night:  Any showers come to an end, otherwise partly cloudy, lows near 60 south, upper 40s to low 50s north.

Sunday:  Partly sunny, maybe a few showers along the South Coast, highs in the low to mid 80s south, 70s north.

Discussion: 

A warm front will pass through New England today.  Along this front is an area of showers and thunderstorm, which is gradually weakening.  This is already bringing rain to parts of Southern New England.  Mainly only southern areas will be affected by this rain through the middle of the day.  I expect to see a few more showers and thunderstorms pop up this afternoon, in areas that see more sunshine.  Fortunately, once we get rid of this batch of showers and storms, our weekend looks pleasant for the most part.

There will still be some instability around during the day tomorrow, which will result in a few pop up showers and thunderstorms, but this will be scattered in nature and won't affect the entire region.  Look for this activity to begin late in the morning or early afternoon and continue until the early evening.  As the sun starts to set the wet weather will begin to diminish.  Sunday will probably be the best of the weekend days, unless you live along the immediate South Coast of New England.  That is where some rain is possible on Sunday.  A low pressure system will be passing to the south of New England and the northern edge of the precipitation may impact Southern CT and RI, along with the Cape and Islands.  The rest of New England will see a good deal of sunshine and mild temperatures.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

Wednesday, June 15, 2011

Sunshine is back

Apologies for the lack of blogs the last few days, laziness and house work got in the way.

Today:  Partly to mostly sunny, highs in the mid and upper 70s.

Tonight:  Partly cloudy, lows in the 50s south, 40s north.

Tomorrow:  Mostly sunny, mild, highs near 80.

Tomorrow night:  Increasing clouds, lows near 60 south, near 50 north.

Friday:  Cloudy, showers possible, highs in the 70s.

Discussion:

We have finally rid ourselves of the stubborn ocean low and have returned to more seasonable and pleasant conditions.  You could see the clouds starting to break up last night just before the sun went down.  High pressure will take control for today and tomorrow provide a good amount of sunshine and mild temperatures.  Unfortunately we won't make it through the rest of the work week before rain chances return.  A low pressure system will slide into the region on Friday bringing the threat of more wet weather.  Right now it doesn't appear to be a washout, but there will be on and off showers throughout the day.

The low pressure system will be moving slowly and will hang around into the day on Saturday.  Showers will be possible, especially the first half of the day on Saturday.  Conditions will improve as we finish out the weekend with sunshine returning for Sunday.  There will be an upper level low around on Sunday, so it is something to keep an eye on.  If the mid levels of the atmosphere are cold, our sunshine might be limited.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

Friday, June 10, 2011

Hot to not

From steamy weather yesterday to damp and cool for the weekend.

Today:  Partial sunshine, highs in the 70s.

Tonight:  Partly to mostly cloudy, lows in the 50s south, 40s north.

Tomorrow:  Cloudy with the periods of rain showers, slight chance of an embedded thunderstorm, highs in the mid 60s.

Tomorrow night:  Occasional rain with the chance of a few rumbles of thunder, lows in the 50s.

Sunday:  Rain showers possible, especially in the morning, highs near 70 south, mid 60s north.

Discussion:

Looks like we'll have a mainly lost weekend coming up thanks to a low pressure system moving through New England.  We'll have a decent day across New England today, a bit heavy on the clouds, but generally pleasant.  However, another storm system is headed our direction that will directly impact our weekend.  The center of the low will pass off to our north and west on Saturday night.  Out of ahead of the center of the low will be some rain along the warm front, the rain from this should arrive during the first half of Saturday.  Most places will just see rain, though there could be a few embedded thunderstorms with heavier downpours.  Late Saturday afternoon into Saturday evening is when we should have a break from some precipitation, after the warm front moves through and before the cold front arrives.  The timing of the cold front remains a bit of a question mark right now, but it looks like it will move through around or before sunrise on Sunday morning.  The sooner it moves through, the better our chances are of having a mostly dry Sunday.  I'm expecting just some leftover rain showers on Sunday morning with gradual improvement throughout the day.  I don't think we will see much in the way of sunshine on Sunday, but it should be the better of the two weekend days.

Looking out into next week, I don't think I like what I see.  We might have to deal with a retrograding low pressure system backing in from the ocean.  I've said this before, the guidance models have a tough time forecasting these events, so let's just hope what I'm seeing is in correct.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

Thursday, June 9, 2011

Severe threat

One round of showers and thunderstorms down, more expected later.

Today:  Periods of hazy sun, showers and thunderstorms possible at times, especially this afternoon.  Some storms could be severe with gusty winds and large hail.  Highs in the 90s south, 80s north.

Tonight:  Showers and thunderstorms diminish in the evening, becoming partly cloudy, lows in the 60s south, 50s north.

Tomorrow:  Partly sunny, cooler, highs in the 70s.

Tomorrow night:  Increasing clouds, lows in the 50s south, upper 30s north.

Saturday:  Cloudy with showers possible, highs in the upper 60s to near 70.

Discussion:

I will focus on today as the weather should impact just about everyone.  We've already had some rain and thunderstorms move through.  Some are still on-going across parts of Northern and Central New England.  Starting early this afternoon a new line of showers and thunderstorms will develop.  It appears that this will be a long line of storms that will cover nearly all of New England.  The biggest threat today will be damaging wind gusts primarily and secondary will be large hail.  It's going to be very warm so the threat of large hail is lower as the hail should be melting as it falls.  As the line of thunderstorms develop, I'm expecting to see the line bow out in a few places.  This is where the greatest threat of straight line wind gusts will be.  The timing of this should be after 2 PM in Western MA and then after 4 PM closer to the coast.  There will likely be a severe thunderstorm watch issued later today.

After today our weather will get cooler and also a bit more wet.  This weekend really isn't looking very good right now.  We won't have rain all the time, but on and off rain showers appear to be what we are going to see.  I'm not expecting a complete washout, but it's going to be hard to get any outdoor activities completed without seeing some raindrops.  I'm hoping that we will be able to salvage half of a day.  If that happens it is going to be on Sunday afternoon, we'll see.

Keep tabs on updated weather alerts and develops on facebook @ http://www.facebook.com/Jontheweatherman.  I'll update this as I can today with warnings and better timing of when the storms will arrive.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

Wednesday, June 8, 2011

Hot and sticky

Turn on your air conditioners if you have them.

Today:  Hot and getting more humid, highs in the upper 80s and low 90s, warmest inland.

Tonight:  Mainly clear, warm and humid, lows in the low 70s south, 60s north.

Tomorrow:  Hazy, hot and humid, chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms inland, some may be severe, highs in the mid and upper 90s, a bit cooler along the coast.

Tomorrow night:  Any showers and thunderstorms end in the evening, otherwise partly cloudy, lows in the mid and upper 60s south, 50s north.

Friday:  Partly sunny, cooler, highs 75-80 south, near 70 north.

Discussion:

High pressure is pumping warm and humid air into New England and these conditions will continue into tomorrow.  Southwesterly winds on the backside of the high pressure system off the Eastern Seaboard will create some record high temperatures for the region today and tomorrow.  It won't be until a cold front moves through late tomorrow then we will get some relief.

Until that front arrives it will be quiet on the precipitation front.  There may be a few showers that try to make it into Western New England late today, but most of them will start to fall apart as they arrive as the sun will be setting and they will be getting further away from the unsettled conditions.  It looks like the front will arrive in New England late tomorrow afternoon.  Too late for any storms across much of Southern New England, but Central, Western and Northern New England may get a few strong storms.  We'll probably see them start firing up across Upstate NY around 1PM and then they will march eastward.  Strong gusty winds and large hail will be the primary threat from any of the strong storms.  Threat of rotation in the storms will be relatively low, but not entirely out of the question.  Maine will likely be the spot if any tornadoes or rotation develops.  I'll have more tomorrow.

After this front passes the flow across New England looks like it will slow down.  This is going to significantly impact the weekend, especially Sunday.  A low pressure system will move in late on Saturday and then hang around through Sunday.  This should provide periodic rain showers to the region.  We probably could use the rain as we haven't had any steady rain in nearly a month or so.  We should be able to salvage Saturday, but Sunday looks to be cool and damp.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

Tuesday, June 7, 2011

Warming up

Temperatures along with the humidity will be climbing through the middle of the week.

Today:  Partly to mostly sunny, very slight chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm, highs in the low to mid 80s.

Tonight:  Mainly clear, lows in the low to mid 60s south, near 50 north.

Tomorrow:  Partly sunny, again the slight chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm, hot and humid, highs near 90 south, upper 80s north.

Tomorrow night:  A few clouds with areas of fog toward dawn, lows in the low 70s south, upper 50s and low 60s north.

Thursday:  Partly sunny, hot and humid.  Afternoon showers and thunderstorms possible, especially north of the Mass. Pike, highs in the low 90s south, upper 80s north.

Discussion:

The Eastern United States is under the influence of a large area of high pressure.  This is provide pleasant conditions to the region.  Over the next few days this will shift off shore.  As this happens our winds will turn around to the southwest and this will pump hot and humid air into New England. 

Today will be our last comfortable day before humidity levels jump up.  There will be a bit of upper level instability that will pass over New England this afternoon.  This may help to set off a few isolated showers or thunderstorms this afternoon.  However the lack of any significant moisture at the surface will severely limit this activity.

As we head into the tomorrow, temperatures will climb on the back side of that high pressure system and ahead of an approaching cold front.  This front won't pass through New England until Thursday afternoon.  It might make it close enough on Wednesday to set off a few showers and thunderstorms across the interior of New England on Wednesday afternoon, but again this activity will be very spotty in nature.  Thursday will be our best chance of showers and thunderstorms as it looks like the cold front will arrive in the afternoon.  Hot temperatures and high humidity will add fuel to the cold front and as a result some of the thunderstorms could be severe with high winds and large hail.  Since tornadoes are on every one's mind I feel obligated to mention them in some way.  Right now it's a bit too early to determine if conditions will be right for tornadoes to develop, should know more tomorrow.

Enjoy the warmth and thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

Saturday, June 4, 2011

Quick morning update

Just a quick update this morning to take most of the mention of showers out of the forecast for tomorrow.

Today:  Lots of sunshine.  Highs in the low 70s south, upper 60s to near 70 along the coast and north.

Tonight:  Clear to partly cloudy, any showers should stay to our west, lows around 50 south, mid and upper 30s north.

Tomorrow:  Mostly sunny south, partly sunny north, highs in the upper 60s north and south.

Tomorrow night:  Mainly clear, lows in the mid 50s south, 40s north.

Monday:  Partly sunny, slight chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm, highs in the upper 70s south, low 70s north.

Discussion:

Just wanted to "improve" the forecast for the weekend.  It looks like that disturbance that is passing off to our west this weekend will stay to the west and not cause a problem.  I have removed the mention of showers from the forecast for Sunday.  We will likely see a bit more cloudiness tomorrow, but I don't think there will be any rain drops.  Our next chance of precipitation will be on Monday, though that activity will be isolated in nature.  A stray shower or thunderstorm may develop in the afternoon thanks another weak disturbance passing through Northern New England.  Surface dewpoints will climb a bit on Monday, supplying a limited amount of moisture for this disturbance to tap into.

Enjoy your weekend and thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

Friday, June 3, 2011

Weekend forecast

Another quiet and cool day across New England today, similar story for this weekend.

Today:  Plenty of sunshine, breezy, highs around 70 south, low 60s north.

Tonight:  Clear, chilly, lows in the mid and upper 40s to low 50s south, mid 30s north.

Tomorrow:  Mainly sunny, highs in the low 70s south(away from the coast), upper 60s north and along the coast.

Tomorrow night:  Partly cloudy, lows around 50 south, upper 30s north.

Sunday:  Limited sunshine, slight chance of a few showers, highs in the upper 60s to near 70.

Discussion:

We'll have a great finish to the work week here in New England.  A good deal of sun today and slightly below normal temperatures.  We are dealing with an upper level low and an area of high pressure at the surface currently.  As we head into the weekend the surface high will shift a bit to the east and this will allow for a disturbance to dive to the west of the New England on Sunday.

Until that disturbance arrives however, we'll enjoy sunshine and pleasant, but a bit cool temperatures.  Tonight and tomorrow morning will be quite chilly, especially in sheltered locations across the interior.  Some places may see some frost in the morning.  Temperatures will warm up quickly however once the sun comes up though.

The previously mentioned disturbance will pass just to the west of New England on Sunday and will be more of a problem for Upstate NY than it will for us.  Regardless, a few showers or sprinkles can't be ruled though, though I believe it will be generally dry.

Early next week the upper level low will push off to the east and will be replace by an upper level ridge.  It looks like a few pockets of energy will slide over the top of this ridge and could provide a few showers and thunderstorms during the first half of next week and temperatures should be warmer than what we will have this weekend.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

Thursday, June 2, 2011

Cooler and drier

Cooler and drier air will prevail here in New England for the foreseeable future.

Today:  Partly sunny, more clouds north with a few isolated showers in the higher terrain, windy, highs in the upper 60s and low 70s south, low 60s north.

Tonight:  Becoming clear, lows in the low 50s south, upper 30s to near 40 north.

Tomorrow:  Mainly sunny, highs around 70 south, low 60s north.

Tomorrow night:  Clear, cool, lows in the upper 40s and low 50s south, 30s north.

Saturday:  Partly sunny, highs in the low 70s south, near 70 north.

Discussion:

Low pressure aloft and high pressure at the surface will dominate our weather for the next 5 days or so.  On the backside of the cold front cooler air is blowing into New England and will set up shop right into the upcoming weekend.  A welcome relief to some who had to deal with the worst of the weather yesterday.  There were 3 reported tornadoes near the Springfield, MA area, two of which were filmed so those can likely be confirmed.  The 3rd was in a less populated area and will be investigated to see if it actually was tornado or not.

But back to the next few days.  We'll see plenty of sunshine, especially after today as a few showers might pop up across the higher terrain.  As a matter of fact, the summit of Mt. Washington reported some snow showers this morning, along with wind gusts to 81 mph.  That's brisk.

Our next chance of precipitation will come on Sunday and it doesn't look very organized.  The atmosphere in general will be pretty dry so most of the rain will evaporate before reaching the ground.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

Wednesday, June 1, 2011

A good day for thunderstorms

Severe weather is a good possibility today, on top of what has already happened.  The combination of high amounts of low level moisture, strong sunshine and an approaching cold front will kick off a few more rounds of showers and thunderstorms across the region this afternoon. 

I'm expecting two more rounds of showers and thunderstorms to develop today.  One during the middle of the afternoon and then another during the evening hours.  It looks like Western MA along with much of VT and NH will be under the bulls'eye today  These are the areas that have already had some rain this morning, which has added even more moisture to the atmosphere.  The Storm Prediction Center has put the region under a "Slight" risk for severe thunderstorms today.  I'm expecting that some locations will be under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch this afternoon, if not a Tornado Watch.  A Tornado Watch might be overkill, but conditions might be favorable enough for a few weak tornadoes to develop.  If not, there will likely be some rotation in some of the stronger storms today.  The biggest threats however for today are large hail and gusty winds. 

So just be careful this afternoon if you are going to be outside.  Keep an eye and ear to the sky and keep tabs on your favorite local new station.  You can also follow me on facebook @ http://www.facebook.com/Jontheweatherman  Go there and click Like.  I'll will update as often as I can with watches and warnings that are issued.  Work comes first however.  :-)

After today our weather will be much cooler and drier into the start of the upcoming weekend.  Sorry about change in blog today, I had a long one all typed out and then had browser problems and lost it all.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K