Well folks, it's been a while since I've posted. Life and lack of significant weather in the Northeastern United States has kept my fingers quiet. I apologize for my absence. But anyway, let's get to why you are really here!
So as you may have heard by now, there is the threat for a powerful storm here in New England on Friday. I know you all just can't wait to hear my opinion either! I caught wind of this yesterday when I peeked at a couple of long range models. Only one of several forecasted the storm to develop, the others kept the system disorganized with very little moisture. Based on how this winter has played out, I was inclined to believe the group of models that was showing the weaker storm.
HOWEVER!
A couple of forecast models have come in line and are now leaning more toward a strong storm. So here's essentially what would happen if this all comes together. There are two areas of low pressure in the upper atmosphere, us Meteorologists refer to them as troughs. One is in the polar flow and the other is in the subtropical flow. These two troughs will merge together, and with the help of some jet stream support, will rapidly develop a strong low pressure system at the surface. Remember this is the ideal situation, if all of this "stuff" doesn't happen, the storm will not be as powerful.
So you're probably asking, how much are we going to get?
Answer is, it's way too early to tell. All we know is that there is a real threat of this happening and the possibility of eclipsing our snow totals for last two winter(not combined), exists. To put that in perspective, most locations in Southern New England have had roughly 20" of snow each of the last 2 winters.
In conclusion, this storm definitely bears watching. We should know more over the next 36 hours.
Stay tuned!
-Jon K
No comments:
Post a Comment