Wednesday, February 20, 2013

Another weekend storm?

That's right folks, our winter isn't over yet.  As I expected, the frequency of storms has increased.  Each storm is becoming "warmer" than the last.  I'll explain this shortly.

I don't want to get into a vast amount of detail, but confidence is increasing for a strong storm to impact New England Saturday afternoon into Sunday.  Computer forecast models began to pick up on this late on Monday and have been consistently showing the storm moving just offshore of Cape Cod.  The good news for some folks is that there will be some rain with this and some places will see nearly ALL rain.  Others won't be lucky and will be stuck with heavy wet snow, and potentially a lot of it.  Right now it looks like 12" is a good maximum to put on this and just about every weather outlet is thinking along those lines.

So I did mention that the storms would be getting "warmer" as we head toward the end of winter.  Most of this is the natural progression of the season.  The sun angle is higher and we are gradually getting more daylight.  On top of this, the upper level troughs are developing further to the West and this is forcing the storm path just a bit closer to the coast, allowing warmer air to move a bit further inland.  This looks like it will happen this weekend as there will be some places that see mainly rain, as I stated earlier.

If you have travel plans this weekend, pay attention to this storm, it's almost guaranteed to cause travel headaches.

More to come....

-Jon K.

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