Monday, February 20, 2012

More mildness on the way

The mild winter continues across New England this week, but there is some precipitation inbound.

Rest of today:  Mainly sunny and cool, highs in the upper 30s to near 40 south, 30s north.

Tonight:  Clear, cold, lows in the teens and 20s south, single digits north.

Tuesday:  Mostly sunny, some clouds move in late, highs in the upper 30s and lower 40s south, mid 30s north.

Tuesday night:  Becoming cloudy, slight chance of a passing rain or snow shower, lows 35-40 south, lows 30s north.

Wednesday:  Mostly cloudy, outside chance of a few flurries/sprinkles, highs near 50 south, low to mid 40s north.

Discussion:

We'll have two passes at storms this coming week, both of the warm variety.  Until then however, conditions will be pleasant but cool.

The first storm will be rather weak and disorganized.  It will pass through the region on Tuesday night and Wednesday morning.  I'm not expecting much in the way of precipitation from this one and if any wintry precipitation falls, it likely won't accumulate to much more than a coating.  Most areas will have rain if they see anything at all.  The bulk of this activity will be out of the region by Wednesday afternoon, but the clouds will hang around.

A more organized and potent system arrives Thursday night.  Even though it will be stronger, I don't expect much wet weather out of it.  The majority of the precipitation association with this system should pass south of New England.  Our best shot of rain will come when the front passes through late on Friday.  Depending on how saturated the lower levels of the atmosphere become, a thunderstorm can't be ruled out as the front passes.  There will be quite a temperature difference and wind shift across this front which will provide enough instability for isolated convection.  More on this as the week progresses.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

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