Thursday, May 26, 2011

Yesterday continued...

Another near perfect day on tap for New England though a few isolated showers and storms are possible far inland.

Today:  Plenty of sunshine, warm and a bit humid, isolated showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon across the interior of New England, highs in the low to mid 80s, upper 70s coast and north.

Tonight:  Partly cloudy, patchy fog toward morning, lows in the 60s south, 50s north.

Tomorrow:  Partly sunny, slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon south, showers and thunderstorms likely in Central and Northern New England, some could be severe, highs in the 80s south, near 80 north.

Tomorrow night:  Maybe an evening shower or storm, otherwise partly cloudy, lows around 60 south, 50s north.

Saturday:  Partly sunny, isolated showers and thunderstorms possible inland, highs near 80.

Sunday/Monday:  Partly to mostly sunny, dry, highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s.

Discussion:

We do have a low pressure system approaching, but this shouldn't have too much of a negative impact on the holiday weekend.  It may be an issue for today and tomorrow, but after that we are generally in the clear.  Most of New England is going to stay dry today as the low and it's cold front will only get close enough to affect Upstate NY and possibly Western MA and VT.  Showers and thunderstorms will begin to develop in the early afternoon across Western and Central NY, which will then push eastward.  By the time the line of storms reaches New England then sun will be on it's way down and the storms will be running out of energy.  Because of that, we really won't see much activity here today.

Tomorrow is a different story as the storms will initiate closer to or in New England.  Based on the set up of the atmosphere, the activity will be mostly confined to Western, Central and Northern New England.  Southern areas will likely stay dry due to southwesterly wind bringing some cooler air in from the Atlantic near Long Island.  This will have stabilizing effect on the atmosphere over Southern New England.  Elsewhere, showers and thunderstorms should pop up during the early to mid afternoon and then push off to the northeast.  High winds, small hail, dangerous lightning and heavy rain are expected in some of the stronger storms.  Can't rule out an isolated tornado, but weather conditions should not be overly conducive storms of that nature.

Once we hit the weekend conditions will calm down.  A stray shower or storm will still be possible on Saturday, but beyond that we should be in the clear.  The low pressure system will lift further off to the north and east leaving high pressure in control.  We will have a good deal of sunshine and warm temperatures right through Memorial Day.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

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