Friday, May 20, 2011

Still getting better

I'll admit, it was much nicer yesterday than I thought it was going to be, I expect that trend to continue today.

Today:  Mostly cloudy, a few breaks of sun at times.  Areas of drizzle this morning with the chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially this afternoon, highs in the 60s to near 70.

Tonight:  Mostly cloudy, patchy drizzle possible, lows in the low 50s south, upper 40s to near 50 north.

Tomorrow:  Mix of clouds and sun, showers and thunderstorms possible, highs near 70 north and south.

Tomorrow night:  Partly to mostly cloudy, lows near 50 south, low 40s north.

Sunday:  Mostly cloudy, maybe some AM drizzle, highs in the low 60s south, upper 60s north.

Discussion: 

After a much improved day yesterday, I'm expecting a bit more improvement today.  We are of course dealing with a marine layer that moved back in after the sun went down last night.  However, as the sun gets higher in the sky, it will start to burn off the low clouds, drizzle and fog.  It should start in Southern NE and then work it's way north.  Places in Northern New England haven't suffered as much from this and will likely break out into the sunshine first today.

However, as a result of the heating from the sun, showers and thunderstorms will likely develop during the course of the day.  Wouldn't be surprised to see a few severe thunderstorm warnings issued today either, and with all the rotation from this upper level low, a stronger storm may be able to produce a weak, very weak tornado.  The chances of this are pretty low, but I feel this setup would be the most conducive to tornadoes that we will probably see this year.  We would need some pretty strong heating from the sun to make this happen though.

Patchy fog and drizzle will likely try to come back in tonight after the sun goes down, but not to the same extent that it did last night.  Even more sunshine should be seen tomorrow and then we will be probably see more showers and thunderstorms develop again.

Sunday is going to be an interesting day.  The forecast models are all over the place with what is going to happen.  Another storm system will be approaching New England on Sunday.  Some of the models try to bring the fog/mist/drizzle back in.  I'm not so sure that is going to happen.  We may see some in the morning, but I think the southwesterly winds that will develop and the strong sun will beat this back and we should see some sunshine.  Temperatures may be a bit cooler than what we will have on Saturday though.

Look for more showers on Sunday night into Monday, but temperatures will be far warmer than we had all this week.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

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