Severe Weather threat today

I'm expecting some strong storms across New England, particularly across the interior of New England.

Today:  Partly to mostly sunny, showers and thunderstorms will develop during the middle of the day across Central and Eastern NY and push eastward.  Small hail, high winds, heavy rain and slight chance of an isolated tornado or two.  Warm and humid, highs in the low to mid 80s.

Tonight:  Any showers and thunderstorms taper off during the evening, becoming partly cloudy, lows in the 60s south, 50s north.

Tomorrow:  Partly sunny, isolated showers and thunderstorms possible in the afternoon, highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

Tomorrow night:  Mainly clear, lows in the 60s south, 50s north.

Sunday:  Partly to mostly sunny, warm, highs in the mid to upper 80s.

Memorial Day:  Partly sunny, slight chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm, highs in the mid to upper 80s.

Discussion:

There is likely to be some rough and tumble weather developing this afternoon across portions of New England.  Nothing like what the middle of the country has had to deal with fortunately.  A low pressure system will swing a weakening cold front through the region this afternoon.  Along and ahead of this front showers and thunderstorms will develop and press eastward.  Western New England into VT, Southwestern NH northeastward into Western Maine are spots that are under the greatest risk.  Further south, timing of the fronts arrival and southerly wind will bring cooler air into Southern New England will limit the threat of showers and thunderstorms, especially the severity of those storms.

Storms will dissipate during the evening hours and then we are in for a beautiful weekend.  There might be enough instability left behind tomorrow to kick off a shower or storm tomorrow afternoon, but the activity will be widely scattered.  Other than that, we are looking at a good deal of sunshine and mid summer like temperatures here right through Memorial Day.  Monday may also give us a stray shower or thunderstorm, but again, isolated in nature.

I might not be updating this every day over the weekend.  If the forecast changes toward the negative, meaning more unsettled weather than I originally expected, I'll update the blog.  If you don't see an update, expect the status quo.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.