Monday, May 2, 2011

Slow moving storm

Hope everyone enjoyed their weekend and then breaking news last night and this morning!

Today: Sun this morning then increasing clouds, highs in the low to mid 60s both north and south.

Tonight:  Mostly cloudy, slight chance of a few showers, lows in the 40s.

Tomorrow:  Cloudy, showers possible, especially north, highs in the 60s south, upper 50s north.

Tomorrow night:  Continued cloudy with the chance of rain showers, lows in the 50s south, upper 40s to near 50 north.

Wednesday:  Cloudy with rain likely, highs near 60 south, 50s north.

Discussion:

We'll squeeze one more nice day out today before conditions begin to deteriorate.  A slow moving storm system is moving toward New England and it will affect our weather throughout the middle of the work week.  As we progress through the day today, clouds will start to build in from the southwest.  Eventually we won't see much sun by the time it sets this evening.  After that, we really won't see the sun until possibly the weekend.  It depends on how everything develops of course.

Over the next few days I'm fairly confident about what will happen.  A battle zone between warm and cold air will set up across the interior of New England late tonight and will remain in place through the day on Wednesday.  Tonight and tomorrow will be cloudy and damp, though most of the rain showers should be over Northern and Central New England.  On Wednesday, the center of the low pressure will be ride northeastward along that battle zone and will help to push it through New England.  This will also bring enhanced chances of rain to the entire region, making it the wettest day of the week.

Beyond Wednesday, the forecast is a bit fuzzy.  The low pressure system looks like it is going to stall just off to our northeast late in the week.  The problem is how far east the low makes it, does it retrograde and how much of the energy rotating around the low makes it back into New England.  If it pushes further out to sea, our weather will be nicer sooner.  If what I'm seeing is correct, our weather will be a bit unsettled until we reach the weekend.  Right now I'm expecting a mainly cloudy with a few showers right through the day on Friday.  More on this throughout the week.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

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