Warmer today, storms tomorrow?

Dealing with some fog and mist this morning, but this will burn off allowing some sun to develop.

Today:  Morning areas of fog gives way to partial sunshine, maybe a few late day showers and storms in western New England, highs ranging from the upper 60s along the coast to low 70s inland.

Tonight:  Showers and thunderstorms possible, especially before 3 AM, lows in the 50s.

Tomorrow:  Some patchy morning fog then some breaks of sun.  Showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon, a few storms may be strong, especially in Western New England, highs in the low to mid 70s.

Tomorrow night:  Showers and thunderstorms depart, clearing, lows near 40 north, upper 40s and low 50s south.

Friday:  Partly sunny, chance of an isolated shower inland, highs in the mid to upper 60s south, around 60 north.

Discussion:

Rough day of forecasting yesterday.  I've never had much luck with forecasting the passage of those warm front.  Ask any meteorologist in New England and they'll likely tell you that they are the hardest to predict.  Anyway, onto today.  We are dealing with some fog this morning, but the combination of a southerly wind and strong sun above the low clouds will burn off the fog leading to some sun today.  We will see some showers and thunderstorms flare up across Upstate NY and Central PA during the early afternoon hours and they will make their way toward New England.  This looks like it will really only be a factor for Western New England late afternoon/early evening time frame.  There is a slight chance that some of these storms may reach severe criteria, but they should be weakening as they reach the New England States.

I expect the rain from these lines of storms to survive to bring some showers overnight to many areas of New England, especially Central and Northern New England.  This will moisten the lower levels of the atmosphere and will likely lead to another foggy morning tomorrow.  This will burn off as well and then it will be get warm and a bit sticky.  An approaching cold front will set off another round of showers and thunderstorms.  Again, some of these storms could reach severe criteria, particularly in Western New England.   This all should happen during the afternoon into early evening.  The showers and storms should move off shore overnight followed by cooler and drier air behind the front.

Friday will turn out to be OK.  We'll see a decent amount of sun, but also the chance of a few pop-up showers across the interior.  Nothing significant, but a few raindrop nonetheless.  Looking into the weekend, I'm happy to report that it appears that it will be mostly dry and seasonable.  A few showers across the interior are possible thanks to cooler air aloft and strong heating at the surface causing lift.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.