Tuesday, April 26, 2011

Another day of murkiness

Fog and drizzle has developed north of the warm front, doesn't look like we'll see that warmth starting today.

Today:  Areas of fog and drizzle, along with the chance of showers, highs in the low to mid 50s both north and south.

Tonight:  Cloudy with showers, lows in the mid and upper 40s both north and south.

Tomorrow:  Mostly cloudy with the chance of showers, highs in the low to mid 70s south, around 70 north.

Tomorrow night:  More showers and maybe a thunderstorms around, lows in the 50s south, near 50 north.

Thursday:  Cloudy with the chance of showers and thunderstorms, highs in the upper 60s both north and south.

Discussion: 

I was worried about today.  Yesterday when I was making the forecast I decided to go a bit more positive and pushed the warm front pretty far to the north.  I bought into what everyone else was saying when deep down I knew that I shouldn't have.  I'm kicking myself now.

As you saw when you woke up this morning, the fog and drizzle has set in and the push from the warm front is not going to be enough to move that heavy damp air out of the region during the day today.  As a result, we'll be stuck with a cool, damp, and dreary day.  Fortunately, this should, rather will, change tonight and early tomorrow.  As the low pressure system gets a bit closer, there will be more of a wind push on the south side of the front.  This will force the marine layer north and east and allow for warmer and "drier" air in.  We will still have the chance of showers and few thunderstorms, but just not the fog and mist.

The cold front associated with this storm system will push through New England during the day on Thursday.  Some of the latest model runs shows this front as being relatively weak with only a thin line of showers and maybe a few thunderstorms.  A bit too early to tell how strong this front will be.

As we head into the weekend, Friday looks like an OK day, maybe a few clouds and a stray shower around.  Saturday and Sunday should be pleasant as well, with near normal temperatures and plenty of sunshine.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

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