Tuesday, April 5, 2011

Storminess continues

Another round of rain on it's way for today, then two more chances at precipitation before we reach the weekend.

Today:  Showers likely, maybe a thunderstorm or two, windy, daytime highs will happen before noon then cooling slightly through the day, 50s south, 40s north.

Tonight:  Any leftover showers end, maybe with some snow mixing in north, lows near 30 south, near 20 north.

Tomorrow:  Partly sunny, more cloudiness during the afternoon hours, breezy,  highs in the mid 50s south, low to mid 40s north.

Tomorrow night:  Chance of a few showers before midnight, otherwise partly cloudy, lows in the low to mid 30s south, near 20 north.

Thursday:  Partly sunny, highs near 50 south, mid 40s north.

Discussion:

It appears that our weather is going to stay active over the next 7 days or so.  Whether or not we will be under the gun of each disturbance that passes through remains the question.  For today, there is a cold front on our doorstep.  This will blast through New England by the early afternoon bringing rain, wind and a maybe a few thunderstorms across Southern New England.  Temperatures are all over the place this morning.  A few spots that were socked in with fog did not have their temperatures warm up overnight.  There are 15 degree temperature differences over short distances in Southern New England because of this.

Once the fog clears and the fronts gets a little closer, the spots that didn't warm overnight should shoot up a few degrees.  Once the front passes through this afternoon, temperatures will start to drop off.  The precipitation should continue into the early evening and by this time, some places may be cool enough for a few snowflakes to mix in.  I expect this to mainly happen in Northern New England.

Tomorrow should generally be pleasant, mild temperatures and decent sunshine.  However, a fast moving disturbance may bring scattered showers during the evening hours.  Beyond Wednesday evening, the forecast models begin to deviate with the path and intensity of the next few events.  Our next chance of precipitation will come either on Friday or Saturday, depending on what model you want to believe.  I'm believe the model that brings the storm in on Friday at this point, since it has been the most consistent.  It looks as if the intensity of this storm has decreased so I don't expect much.  As of now, it only looks to impact Southern New England.  If this trend continues, this storm may pass just to the south of New England.

Once the storm departs on Saturday morning, our weather should be quite nice for the remainder of the weekend.  Next storm beyond that would be early next week.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

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