Two more warm days on tap before temperatures settle back into the 70s with lower humidity.
Today: Mostly sunny, warm, highs in the low to mid 80s south, upper 70s along the coast, near 80 north.
Tonight: Clear, areas of fog toward dawn, lows in the upper 50s to near 60 south, near 50 north.
Tomorrow: Partly sunny, chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon, some could be severe, highs in the mid and upper 80s south, low 80s north.
Tomorrow night: Showers and thunderstorms taper off in the evening, becoming partly cloudy, lows in the mid 50s south, upper 40s north.
Thursday: Lots of sunshine, cooler, highs in the mid and upper 70s south, mid and upper 60s north.
Discussion:
We are still under the influence of high pressure here in New England today. This will allow for plenty of sunshine today and another days of warm temperatures. As we head into tonight and tomorrow there will be a cold front approaching the region. Ahead of this front, dew points will get a bit higher making for a humid day tomorrow, starting with patchy fog tomorrow morning. The front will approach the region during the afternoon hours, which is prime timing for showers and thunderstorms to develop. The orientation and motion of the front will be conducive to most areas seeing the showers and thunderstorms. The front will be moving from northwest to southeast. Normally cold fronts move in directly from the west or from a southwesterly direction, this typically keeps most of Southern New England free of showers and storms. A southerly wind brings stabilizing air in from the Atlantic. Tomorrow the winds will be more westerly ahead of the front, so the stabilizing effect won't be as prominent. Depending on how much sunshine we see before the front arrives will determine how unstable the atmosphere will be. So just a heads up for tomorrow, I'll elaborate more with tomorrow's update.
Beyond tomorrow, we'll have another stretch of dry weather but this time temperatures will be cooler and there will be little to no humidity. An upper level low will settle in over the Northeast keeping conditions cooler, but we should stay mainly sunny. This looks like it will last right into the first half of the weekend. There could be a few showers around on Sunday, but we'll have to wait and see if that feature is still in the forecast models in the coming days.
Thanks for reading! And remember, tomorrow is the start of hurricane season.
-Jon K.
A blog about New England Weather. Forecasts and review of storms across the region. I do my best to make the weather informative and understandable, while educating my readers about how the weather works. Thoughts and opinions in this blog are my own and are not representative of any company or organization.
Tuesday, May 31, 2011
Friday, May 27, 2011
Severe Weather threat today
I'm expecting some strong storms across New England, particularly across the interior of New England.
Today: Partly to mostly sunny, showers and thunderstorms will develop during the middle of the day across Central and Eastern NY and push eastward. Small hail, high winds, heavy rain and slight chance of an isolated tornado or two. Warm and humid, highs in the low to mid 80s.
Tonight: Any showers and thunderstorms taper off during the evening, becoming partly cloudy, lows in the 60s south, 50s north.
Tomorrow: Partly sunny, isolated showers and thunderstorms possible in the afternoon, highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.
Tomorrow night: Mainly clear, lows in the 60s south, 50s north.
Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny, warm, highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Memorial Day: Partly sunny, slight chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm, highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Discussion:
There is likely to be some rough and tumble weather developing this afternoon across portions of New England. Nothing like what the middle of the country has had to deal with fortunately. A low pressure system will swing a weakening cold front through the region this afternoon. Along and ahead of this front showers and thunderstorms will develop and press eastward. Western New England into VT, Southwestern NH northeastward into Western Maine are spots that are under the greatest risk. Further south, timing of the fronts arrival and southerly wind will bring cooler air into Southern New England will limit the threat of showers and thunderstorms, especially the severity of those storms.
Storms will dissipate during the evening hours and then we are in for a beautiful weekend. There might be enough instability left behind tomorrow to kick off a shower or storm tomorrow afternoon, but the activity will be widely scattered. Other than that, we are looking at a good deal of sunshine and mid summer like temperatures here right through Memorial Day. Monday may also give us a stray shower or thunderstorm, but again, isolated in nature.
I might not be updating this every day over the weekend. If the forecast changes toward the negative, meaning more unsettled weather than I originally expected, I'll update the blog. If you don't see an update, expect the status quo.
Thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
Today: Partly to mostly sunny, showers and thunderstorms will develop during the middle of the day across Central and Eastern NY and push eastward. Small hail, high winds, heavy rain and slight chance of an isolated tornado or two. Warm and humid, highs in the low to mid 80s.
Tonight: Any showers and thunderstorms taper off during the evening, becoming partly cloudy, lows in the 60s south, 50s north.
Tomorrow: Partly sunny, isolated showers and thunderstorms possible in the afternoon, highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.
Tomorrow night: Mainly clear, lows in the 60s south, 50s north.
Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny, warm, highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Memorial Day: Partly sunny, slight chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm, highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Discussion:
There is likely to be some rough and tumble weather developing this afternoon across portions of New England. Nothing like what the middle of the country has had to deal with fortunately. A low pressure system will swing a weakening cold front through the region this afternoon. Along and ahead of this front showers and thunderstorms will develop and press eastward. Western New England into VT, Southwestern NH northeastward into Western Maine are spots that are under the greatest risk. Further south, timing of the fronts arrival and southerly wind will bring cooler air into Southern New England will limit the threat of showers and thunderstorms, especially the severity of those storms.
Storms will dissipate during the evening hours and then we are in for a beautiful weekend. There might be enough instability left behind tomorrow to kick off a shower or storm tomorrow afternoon, but the activity will be widely scattered. Other than that, we are looking at a good deal of sunshine and mid summer like temperatures here right through Memorial Day. Monday may also give us a stray shower or thunderstorm, but again, isolated in nature.
I might not be updating this every day over the weekend. If the forecast changes toward the negative, meaning more unsettled weather than I originally expected, I'll update the blog. If you don't see an update, expect the status quo.
Thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
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