Monday, February 28, 2011

Ice to rain

First off, sorry about not posting yesterday.  I was quite lazy.

If you have ventured outside already this morning, you know it is slippery out there.  We are dealing with a wintry mix across much of New England.  Southern New England should be transitioning soon, by say 11AM or Noon.  Temperatures will slowly climb up to above freezing this morning, then should shoot up to the low 40s in Southern New England.

A tricker situation in Central New England.  Some spots will change over to rain, others will stay a mix of sleet and freezing rain.  This zone will be between Laconia and Concord.  North of Laconia/Tilton area, temperatures at the surface will stay cold so wintry mix or snow is expected to continue throughout the day.  Look for 3-6 inches in Northern New England.

The precipitation will start to taper off late this afternoon, starting in the south and then shutting off gradually toward the northeast.  Once the storm pulls away, we'll enjoy a few days of calm weather.  Temperatures will be relatively mild tomorrow and Wednesday, then cooling off for Thursday and Friday.  Our next round of unsettled weather looks to arrive this weekend.

Also going on today, severe weather along the Appalachains and then later today in the Carolinas and Southeastern States.  Strong winds and hail are the primary threats but isolated tornadoes are a significant threat as well.  We are getting closer to severe weather season, so days like today will becoming more common over the next couple of months.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

Saturday, February 26, 2011

A bit more snow coming...

We are in the middle of a beautiful day here in New England at the moment.  Plenty of sunshine and seasonable temperatures.  Unfortunately we are in for another round of snow tonight as a fast moving, weak area of low pressure system will pass through.  There isn't too much moisture associated with this system, but the low will get stronger as it moves overhead.  We will see some accumulations out of this system, but nothing we can't handle!

Look for the snow to begin around midnight tonight, the snow may fall moderately at times, especially in Central New Hampshire.  I believe this is the area that will see the highest accumulations, maybe a few spots seeing as much as 5 inches.  South of Concord, NH down into Northern MA, I expect 1 to 3".  North of Franconia Notch, also, 1 to 3 inches.  Between Concord and the Notch, as mentioned earlier, is where most of the snow should fall.

Since this system is moving so quickly, all the snow should be clear of the region by mid-morning.  I expect to see the sun break out pretty quickly after the snow ends and temperatures should warm up above freezing for most locations.  This means most of the snow, anyone who gets 2" or less will likely have all the new snow melted by sun down on Sunday.  Our next storm system will be closing in fast, set to arrive on Monday.

Southwesterly winds will kick in overnight on Sunday night into Monday morning.  I don't expect temperatures will fall to far on Sunday night, maybe even climbing a couple degrees overnight.  Depending on if we see any sun on Monday morning, chances aren't looking too good at the moment, temperatures could get quite mild.  Right now I'm expecting 40s for Southern and Central New England, upper 30s in Northern New England.  This should be mainly a rain event on Monday with the precipitation starting late morning.  Not nearly as much precipitation with this storm as the one we had on Friday, but almost as much melting thanks to warmer temperatures.

I'll have more on Monday's storm tomorrow.  Beyond Monday we should have quiet weather though most of the rest of the week, maybe a weak disturbance mid week.  Daytime highs next week should be above freezing each day for most locations.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.