Quiet weather for the next few days with mild temperatures for the weekend!
Today: Mostly sunny, highs in the upper 40s and low 50s south, upper 40s north.
Tonight: Clear, cool, lows 30-35 south, teens north.
Tomorrow: Partly to mostly sunny, more cloudiness across Southern New England, highs 50-55 south, 45-50 north.
Tomorrow night: Partly cloudy, lows in the mid 30s south, 20s north.
Saturday: Partly sunny, mild, highs near 60 south, 50s north.
Discussion:
Even though our weather is going to stay quiet here in New England, doesn't mean our spring weather has quieted down completely. We are going to experience a close miss tomorrow with a storm system diving just south of New England. For today however, high pressure is in control. I expect temperatures to be a few degrees cooler than yesterday, mainly due to the lack of defined wind field. This will allow a sea breeze to set up that should push pretty far inland. This high pressure system that is in control will help to force an approach low pressure system to our south tomorrow, very similar to the low that passed to our south last night.
After the disturbance passes through tomorrow, the high pressure system will shift off shore and this will turn our winds around to a southwesterly direction. With that, our warm up will commence. Saturday and Sunday look to be beautiful days here in New England with a good deal of sunshine and above normal temperatures. 60s are a good bet for southern areas on Saturday and I wouldn't be surprised to see a few 70s on Sunday. It'll be a bit cooler across Northern New England mainly due to the lingering snow pack.
This warm up comes with a downside however. Early next week will we have some rain to deal with across New England, although I don't see a major cool down after the passage of this storm. Actually it looks like our temperatures will be at or above normal for the next week and a half!
Thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
A blog about New England Weather. Forecasts and review of storms across the region. I do my best to make the weather informative and understandable, while educating my readers about how the weather works. Thoughts and opinions in this blog are my own and are not representative of any company or organization.
Showing posts with label warm up. Show all posts
Showing posts with label warm up. Show all posts
Thursday, April 7, 2011
Thursday, March 17, 2011
Beautiful St. Patty's Day
We are in between low pressure systems today, warmth expected through tomorrow before cooling off for the upcoming weekend.
Today: Lots of sunshine, highs in the mid 50s south, mid and upper 40s north.
Tonight: Increasing clouds, slight chance of rain showers toward morning, lows in the 40s south, low to mid 30s north.
Tomorrow: A few morning showers possible, breaks of sunshine develops, mild, highs in the low to mid 60s south, 50s north.
Tomorrow night: Partly cloudy, lows in the upper 20s and low 30s south, teens and 20s north.
Saturday: Partly sunny, highs in the mid 40s south, upper 30s and low 40s north.
Discussion:
We are under the influence of a small area of high pressure today that is wedged in between the storm we had yesterday and a system that will race to our north tomorrow. Southwesterly winds and bring sunshine will push temperatures to above normal levels for today and this will continue tomorrow. As the high pressure system shifts off shore tonight, a fast moving area of low pressure will slide by to our north during the first half of the day tomorrow. This will swing a weak front through the region. There doesn't appear to be very much moisture associated with the front in the forecast models, so only low chances of rain showers early on Friday morning. Once the front passes through, we should see some breaks in the clouds develop. With this sunshine, temperatures should get even warmer on Friday than we will see today.
Friday will be the end of the above normal temperatures for a few day unfortunately. A secondary front will push through on Friday night, another dry frontal passage, but will bring the chilly air back. Daytime highs over the weekend will be back to normal, 30s and 40s across New England. Conditions should remain dry through the weekend, with our next storm potentially arrive on Tuesday. This storm could be interesting depending on how much cold air it can tap into from Eastern Canada. It looks like some places may see some snow out of this storm, particularly in Northern New England. Timing and path of the storm will also play a role in who sees what.
So enjoy the warmth we will have today and tomorrow, this should go a long way to helping get rid of the remaining snow cover in Southern and Central New England.
Thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
Today: Lots of sunshine, highs in the mid 50s south, mid and upper 40s north.
Tonight: Increasing clouds, slight chance of rain showers toward morning, lows in the 40s south, low to mid 30s north.
Tomorrow: A few morning showers possible, breaks of sunshine develops, mild, highs in the low to mid 60s south, 50s north.
Tomorrow night: Partly cloudy, lows in the upper 20s and low 30s south, teens and 20s north.
Saturday: Partly sunny, highs in the mid 40s south, upper 30s and low 40s north.
Discussion:
We are under the influence of a small area of high pressure today that is wedged in between the storm we had yesterday and a system that will race to our north tomorrow. Southwesterly winds and bring sunshine will push temperatures to above normal levels for today and this will continue tomorrow. As the high pressure system shifts off shore tonight, a fast moving area of low pressure will slide by to our north during the first half of the day tomorrow. This will swing a weak front through the region. There doesn't appear to be very much moisture associated with the front in the forecast models, so only low chances of rain showers early on Friday morning. Once the front passes through, we should see some breaks in the clouds develop. With this sunshine, temperatures should get even warmer on Friday than we will see today.
Friday will be the end of the above normal temperatures for a few day unfortunately. A secondary front will push through on Friday night, another dry frontal passage, but will bring the chilly air back. Daytime highs over the weekend will be back to normal, 30s and 40s across New England. Conditions should remain dry through the weekend, with our next storm potentially arrive on Tuesday. This storm could be interesting depending on how much cold air it can tap into from Eastern Canada. It looks like some places may see some snow out of this storm, particularly in Northern New England. Timing and path of the storm will also play a role in who sees what.
So enjoy the warmth we will have today and tomorrow, this should go a long way to helping get rid of the remaining snow cover in Southern and Central New England.
Thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
Friday, March 4, 2011
Here comes the "warmth"
A chilly start this morning, just a quick check shows a few places that got down to -20. However, the warm air is already making its push in as those places have already climbed above 0 degrees. That's quite a swing in a just few hours.
Anyway, high pressure will stay in control today as it slides offshore. This will turn our winds around to the southwest, helping to usher in the warmer air. Temperatures will moderate nicely today, getting close to 30 in Northern and Central New England, climbing well into the 30s in Southern New England. Look for plenty of sunshine for most of the day with a few high clouds moving in throughout the day.
This weekend will prove to be interesting. A large, complex low pressure system is organizing in the Central United States. This will tap into moisture from the Gulf of Mexico to bring quite a bit of rain to the Ohio Valley, Upstate NY and New England. Flood watches have already been posted for some spots in Ohio, PA and Western NY and I would imagine more watches will be issued today for Central NY into the Adirondacks and Mohawk Valley of NY.
This storm system will be moving very slowly as the upper level winds will be nearly parallel to the surface front. This means there won't be much west to east push of the storm system. It won't be until Sunday that a piece of energy moves out of Western Canada that will give this storm system a push to move it into New England. So, given the slow movement, New England should stay generally dry until later in the day on Sunday. We should have a decent amount of sunshine on Saturday, which should kick temperatures well into the 40s for most locations, wouldn't be surprised to see a few spots in Southern New England reach 50 degrees.
Temperatures on Sunday should be a bit warmer, especially if we see a few hours of sunshine. That will be the big question, how much sun will we see, as that storm will be on our door step. Regardless, Southern New England should easily widespread 50s and 40s elsewhere. If we see more sun that I currently expect, 60s may be possible for SNE. The rain should hold off until the late afternoon, maybe even until after the sun goes down. The location of where the heaviest rain will fall still remains a mystery. This morning it appears that the heaviest will fall in Central and Northern New England. Forecast rainfall totals still look impressive with a large area of 2+ inches of rain. This combined with the amount of liquid remaining in the snow pack will keep flooding possibilities high. Smaller rivers and streams are at the highest risk because they are likely frozen right now and as the ice breaks up, ice dams may develop.
The majority of the precipitation should fall during the day on Monday, with the possibility of some mixing in Northern New England as the cold air starts to make a return. Southern and Central New England should see strictly rain from this system.
Beyond Monday we will see temperatures return to seasonable levels, with another warm up throughout the week and another rain event next Friday.
I'll have more throughout the weekend on this storm and the potential for flooding.
Thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
Anyway, high pressure will stay in control today as it slides offshore. This will turn our winds around to the southwest, helping to usher in the warmer air. Temperatures will moderate nicely today, getting close to 30 in Northern and Central New England, climbing well into the 30s in Southern New England. Look for plenty of sunshine for most of the day with a few high clouds moving in throughout the day.
This weekend will prove to be interesting. A large, complex low pressure system is organizing in the Central United States. This will tap into moisture from the Gulf of Mexico to bring quite a bit of rain to the Ohio Valley, Upstate NY and New England. Flood watches have already been posted for some spots in Ohio, PA and Western NY and I would imagine more watches will be issued today for Central NY into the Adirondacks and Mohawk Valley of NY.
This storm system will be moving very slowly as the upper level winds will be nearly parallel to the surface front. This means there won't be much west to east push of the storm system. It won't be until Sunday that a piece of energy moves out of Western Canada that will give this storm system a push to move it into New England. So, given the slow movement, New England should stay generally dry until later in the day on Sunday. We should have a decent amount of sunshine on Saturday, which should kick temperatures well into the 40s for most locations, wouldn't be surprised to see a few spots in Southern New England reach 50 degrees.
Temperatures on Sunday should be a bit warmer, especially if we see a few hours of sunshine. That will be the big question, how much sun will we see, as that storm will be on our door step. Regardless, Southern New England should easily widespread 50s and 40s elsewhere. If we see more sun that I currently expect, 60s may be possible for SNE. The rain should hold off until the late afternoon, maybe even until after the sun goes down. The location of where the heaviest rain will fall still remains a mystery. This morning it appears that the heaviest will fall in Central and Northern New England. Forecast rainfall totals still look impressive with a large area of 2+ inches of rain. This combined with the amount of liquid remaining in the snow pack will keep flooding possibilities high. Smaller rivers and streams are at the highest risk because they are likely frozen right now and as the ice breaks up, ice dams may develop.
The majority of the precipitation should fall during the day on Monday, with the possibility of some mixing in Northern New England as the cold air starts to make a return. Southern and Central New England should see strictly rain from this system.
Beyond Monday we will see temperatures return to seasonable levels, with another warm up throughout the week and another rain event next Friday.
I'll have more throughout the weekend on this storm and the potential for flooding.
Thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
Wednesday, February 16, 2011
Spring-like
The title says it all. It will feel spring-like the next few days. An area of high pressure will slide through the Northeast today turning our winds from a northerly direction to a southwesterly wind. This will bring warmer air into the lower levels of the atmosphere. Also on the back side of this high pressure a warm front will be making its way through New England today. This will only have some cloudiness associated with it, but will enhance the temperature moderation.
This warm front is attached to a low pressure system that is currently in the Northern Plains. Until this storm system reaches the Northeast on Friday night, we will enjoy well above normal temperatures and a decent amount of sunshine. Today, highs will top out in the low to mid 40s in Southern New England with mid and upper 30s to near 40 in Central and Northern New England. The warm up continues tomorrow as we will start the day relatively mild with lows in the 20s and low 30s. This warmer start, as opposed to the single digits and teens this morning, will allow for warmer high temperatures during the day. I expect to see most of the Southern and Central New England reaching at least 50 degrees with 40s in Northern New England on Thursday.
As the storm system gets closer on Friday we will see a bit more cloudiness. This will inhibit the warm up slightly on Friday, but most places should still hit 50 degrees, if not the mid 50s. If we had full sunshine on Friday, many places would reach the 60s. There probably will be a few places that achieve this, and if it happens it will likely be in Southeastern Massachusetts. Our best chance of any precipitation will be with the cold front that will push through the region on Friday night. There shouldn't be all that much moisture associated with the front, so many areas will stay dry. Highest chances for any rain showers will be in Northern New England Friday evening.
The downside to this cold front will be the blast of cold air behind it. It looks like we have a pattern developing here and the models are indicating this as well. We'll see a warm up for a couple days and then 3 to 5 days of chilly temperatures, followed by another warm up and then a cool down. So it still appears that the overall weather pattern remains active across the United States, we just aren't see the abundant precipitation we were during January.
For this upcoming weekend, it will be chilly and windy with a few scattered snow showers and flurries around. High temps in the 30s for the most part. Our next significant chance of a plowable snow will come on Tuesday night. Models are still a little sporadic with the track of this storm, but more are now indicating a mostly snow event at this time. I'm keeping my eyes on it!
Thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
This warm front is attached to a low pressure system that is currently in the Northern Plains. Until this storm system reaches the Northeast on Friday night, we will enjoy well above normal temperatures and a decent amount of sunshine. Today, highs will top out in the low to mid 40s in Southern New England with mid and upper 30s to near 40 in Central and Northern New England. The warm up continues tomorrow as we will start the day relatively mild with lows in the 20s and low 30s. This warmer start, as opposed to the single digits and teens this morning, will allow for warmer high temperatures during the day. I expect to see most of the Southern and Central New England reaching at least 50 degrees with 40s in Northern New England on Thursday.
As the storm system gets closer on Friday we will see a bit more cloudiness. This will inhibit the warm up slightly on Friday, but most places should still hit 50 degrees, if not the mid 50s. If we had full sunshine on Friday, many places would reach the 60s. There probably will be a few places that achieve this, and if it happens it will likely be in Southeastern Massachusetts. Our best chance of any precipitation will be with the cold front that will push through the region on Friday night. There shouldn't be all that much moisture associated with the front, so many areas will stay dry. Highest chances for any rain showers will be in Northern New England Friday evening.
The downside to this cold front will be the blast of cold air behind it. It looks like we have a pattern developing here and the models are indicating this as well. We'll see a warm up for a couple days and then 3 to 5 days of chilly temperatures, followed by another warm up and then a cool down. So it still appears that the overall weather pattern remains active across the United States, we just aren't see the abundant precipitation we were during January.
For this upcoming weekend, it will be chilly and windy with a few scattered snow showers and flurries around. High temps in the 30s for the most part. Our next significant chance of a plowable snow will come on Tuesday night. Models are still a little sporadic with the track of this storm, but more are now indicating a mostly snow event at this time. I'm keeping my eyes on it!
Thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
Tuesday, February 15, 2011
Brrr....
It's cold.
After the beautiful yesterday, the chill this morning was a bit shocking. Fortunately we don't have to deal with it for very long. It's still pretty breezy out there, these winds should gradually subside today. This will lead to very cold temperatures tonight, mainly in the single digits for most of the region. Bright sunshine will continue through today with clear skies overnight.
Tomorrow will be a transition day, from cold to mild. We will start very cold, so it won't get too warm, but we should get above freezing in most locations. Warm air will be rushing in aloft so a few passing clouds are expected, but we will stay dry.
All of this warm air is being forced north by a storm system developing in the Central United States. This is tapping into some warm air in the Southern Plains. Eventually this storm will pass to our north and bring back the cold, but not until the weekend. Thursday and Friday will also be mild, but how warm will heavily depend on how much sunshine we see. If we get as much sun as we saw yesterday afternoon, temperatures back into 50s is highly likely, I wouldn't be suprised to see a few spots hit 60 degrees. Conversely, if we are more heavy on the cloudiness, temperatures will only top off in the 40s. Either way, it's a nice break from the winter temperatures for a few days.
As for precipitation when this system passes by. There is likely going to be spotty shower activity on Friday. I feel that most of the rain will be in Northern and Central New England. This will be associated with the cold front as it approaches. The front will likely move through on Friday night. This will likely happen rather uneventfully, really only a shift in the wind as the front passes.
Saturday as the cold air rushes back in aloft, any heaiting we have at the surface will quickly rise up in the atmosphere and generate cloudiness, along with convective snow showers and squalls. These will be isolated and short lived as the energy that creates these will be from heating. So when it gets cloudy, that energy goes away. It should be cyclical through mid-morning through early evening.
Beyond Saturday we will stay chilly, though temperatures will probably be seasonable and then we need to start looking to a storm system moving through the Ohio Valley early next week. Depending on the path of this storm, we will either see snow or rain. Right now it looks like an all snow event. I'll keep you posted!
Thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
After the beautiful yesterday, the chill this morning was a bit shocking. Fortunately we don't have to deal with it for very long. It's still pretty breezy out there, these winds should gradually subside today. This will lead to very cold temperatures tonight, mainly in the single digits for most of the region. Bright sunshine will continue through today with clear skies overnight.
Tomorrow will be a transition day, from cold to mild. We will start very cold, so it won't get too warm, but we should get above freezing in most locations. Warm air will be rushing in aloft so a few passing clouds are expected, but we will stay dry.
All of this warm air is being forced north by a storm system developing in the Central United States. This is tapping into some warm air in the Southern Plains. Eventually this storm will pass to our north and bring back the cold, but not until the weekend. Thursday and Friday will also be mild, but how warm will heavily depend on how much sunshine we see. If we get as much sun as we saw yesterday afternoon, temperatures back into 50s is highly likely, I wouldn't be suprised to see a few spots hit 60 degrees. Conversely, if we are more heavy on the cloudiness, temperatures will only top off in the 40s. Either way, it's a nice break from the winter temperatures for a few days.
As for precipitation when this system passes by. There is likely going to be spotty shower activity on Friday. I feel that most of the rain will be in Northern and Central New England. This will be associated with the cold front as it approaches. The front will likely move through on Friday night. This will likely happen rather uneventfully, really only a shift in the wind as the front passes.
Saturday as the cold air rushes back in aloft, any heaiting we have at the surface will quickly rise up in the atmosphere and generate cloudiness, along with convective snow showers and squalls. These will be isolated and short lived as the energy that creates these will be from heating. So when it gets cloudy, that energy goes away. It should be cyclical through mid-morning through early evening.
Beyond Saturday we will stay chilly, though temperatures will probably be seasonable and then we need to start looking to a storm system moving through the Ohio Valley early next week. Depending on the path of this storm, we will either see snow or rain. Right now it looks like an all snow event. I'll keep you posted!
Thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
Monday, February 14, 2011
Winds of change
Happy Valentine's Day everyone. Took the day off from posting yesterday, back at the grind today.
A low pressure system approaching the Northeastern US today will push mild air, mild is a relative term for the season. Southwesterly winds will push temperatures into the 40s for much of New England today. This storm will pass far to the north and west of the region late today and a cold front will pass through early this evening. I don't expect that there will be much in the precipitation with the frontal passage, but there will be a lot of wind. These gusty winds will continue through the night and into early Tuesday before diminishing. Wind gusts of up to 45 mph are expected with sustained winds between 15 and 30 mph for the overnight. This may lead to a few power outages.
These winds tonight will be out of the northwest, forcing cold air back into New England. The cool down will be short lived as the winds will turn back to the southwest on Tuesday night and then the warm up begins again. This warm up will be much more significant and sustained. Temperatures will gradually climb to well above normal through Friday. Again this warm up will come in advance of a storm system that is expected to pass to the northwest of New England. This system right now should slide by on Friday night. I would imagine that the timing of this will waver over the next few days, but it looks like temperatures will be cooler for the upcoming weekend.
Wednesday and Thursday will give the region highs in the upper 30s and 40s and then on Friday, some places, mainly in Southern New England may reach the 50s. The snow pack should diminish quite a bit, but I doubt we'll any grass yet.
In terms of snow fall, we may get a little over the upcoming weekend, but I won't get into specifics. As I mentioned earlier, the location and timing of the storm system on Friday night will likely change a bit, so it's a little early to go overboard will details.
More tomorrow, thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
A low pressure system approaching the Northeastern US today will push mild air, mild is a relative term for the season. Southwesterly winds will push temperatures into the 40s for much of New England today. This storm will pass far to the north and west of the region late today and a cold front will pass through early this evening. I don't expect that there will be much in the precipitation with the frontal passage, but there will be a lot of wind. These gusty winds will continue through the night and into early Tuesday before diminishing. Wind gusts of up to 45 mph are expected with sustained winds between 15 and 30 mph for the overnight. This may lead to a few power outages.
These winds tonight will be out of the northwest, forcing cold air back into New England. The cool down will be short lived as the winds will turn back to the southwest on Tuesday night and then the warm up begins again. This warm up will be much more significant and sustained. Temperatures will gradually climb to well above normal through Friday. Again this warm up will come in advance of a storm system that is expected to pass to the northwest of New England. This system right now should slide by on Friday night. I would imagine that the timing of this will waver over the next few days, but it looks like temperatures will be cooler for the upcoming weekend.
Wednesday and Thursday will give the region highs in the upper 30s and 40s and then on Friday, some places, mainly in Southern New England may reach the 50s. The snow pack should diminish quite a bit, but I doubt we'll any grass yet.
In terms of snow fall, we may get a little over the upcoming weekend, but I won't get into specifics. As I mentioned earlier, the location and timing of the storm system on Friday night will likely change a bit, so it's a little early to go overboard will details.
More tomorrow, thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
Saturday, February 12, 2011
Staying mostly dry...
There is a weak disturbance that will be passing through New England today. This will bring the chance of a few snow showers today. I think that most areas will stay dry as the moisture associated with the system will be wrung out by the mountains in Western New England. This means that all the precipitation will be forced out as the air rises up over the higher terrain. We will a bit more cloudiness around today, especially during the morning. Skies will gradually clear throughout the day and temperatures should reach 30s in Southern New England, slightly cooler to the north.
Clouds will make a return on Sunday morning as another weak disturbance approaches. This one will also have limited moisture. The path of Sunday's energy will be centered further north as well, so the majority of any precipitation will be in Central and Northern New England, particularly in higher elevations, like today. Temperatures will be in the low 30s in Southern New England with mid and upper 20s in Central and Northern New England.
A 3rd, stronger system approaches for Valentines Day. Despite the increased intensity, there really won't be much moisture again and also this system will slide to the north of the region again. I'll continue to leave the chance of snow showers for everyone for right now, but chances will be lower the further south you live in New England. Temperatures will be back into the 30s for most areas, maybe some 20s in Northern New England.
Temperatures cool down on Tuesday, back in the 20s for everyone with sunshine. Starting on Wednesday, we will really see the daily highs start to climb. We have a pretty good chance of seeing 50 degree highs in Southern New England on Friday.
So in general, conditions will stay on the calm side, especially when you compare it to what we went through in January.
Have a good weekend and thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
Clouds will make a return on Sunday morning as another weak disturbance approaches. This one will also have limited moisture. The path of Sunday's energy will be centered further north as well, so the majority of any precipitation will be in Central and Northern New England, particularly in higher elevations, like today. Temperatures will be in the low 30s in Southern New England with mid and upper 20s in Central and Northern New England.
A 3rd, stronger system approaches for Valentines Day. Despite the increased intensity, there really won't be much moisture again and also this system will slide to the north of the region again. I'll continue to leave the chance of snow showers for everyone for right now, but chances will be lower the further south you live in New England. Temperatures will be back into the 30s for most areas, maybe some 20s in Northern New England.
Temperatures cool down on Tuesday, back in the 20s for everyone with sunshine. Starting on Wednesday, we will really see the daily highs start to climb. We have a pretty good chance of seeing 50 degree highs in Southern New England on Friday.
So in general, conditions will stay on the calm side, especially when you compare it to what we went through in January.
Have a good weekend and thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
Friday, February 11, 2011
Come on melting!
Not too much to discuss this morning, that's a good thing. The overall weather pattern here in the Northeast will remain relatively quiet through the weekend. There will be the chance of a few rain or snow showers, but nothing significant.
We'll see a decent amount of sunshine today, there may be some cloudiness that develops as we head into the afternoon. Temperatures will still be on the chilly side, generally in the 20s with a few spots hitting the low 30s, mainly in southern areas.
Saturday will begin with a bit of cloudiness and maybe a few flurries or snow showers. Most of this activity will be centered in the higher elevations of the New England. Other than that, temperatures will be a bit milder, low to mid 30s in Southern New England with upper 20s in Northern New England. Sunday will also bring the slight chance of some snow showers, especially late in the day. There may be a few rain drops mixed in with the snow at times. This activity will be quite isolated. Look for temperatures to be a couple degrees higher than Saturday's highs.
Monday will likely be the best chance for a widespread precipitation event. Temperatures are going to be near or above freezing, so there might be some mixing. For the most part, this will be a heavy wet snow for much of New England. Accumulations still look to be on the low side, I'll provide more information on this later in the weekend. The path of this low has been jumping around a little bit in the forecast models, I'll wait for them to come to more of a consensus before I get too detailed.
The best news will be the temperature moderation that will come late next week and next weekend. It will be exactly what we need, and deserve. The whole atmospheric set up will flip for a few days bringing up southerly winds. This will force some warmer air to move in starting on Wednesday. Exactly how long this set up will last is still in question, but I expect it to stay mild through Saturday. During this time it also looks like it will be dry so we should see a good deal of melting. This crucial because in most places, there is 5+ inches of liquid sitting in the snow pack. If we were to get a warm rain, flooding would be a major concern. I know I keep harping on this, but if we have a March like we did last year, it's not going to be pretty for low lying areas and people near rivers and streams.
Thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
P.S. - I've added some share buttons to my blog, if you feel like someone else might like to get their weather from me, please share! Thanks!
We'll see a decent amount of sunshine today, there may be some cloudiness that develops as we head into the afternoon. Temperatures will still be on the chilly side, generally in the 20s with a few spots hitting the low 30s, mainly in southern areas.
Saturday will begin with a bit of cloudiness and maybe a few flurries or snow showers. Most of this activity will be centered in the higher elevations of the New England. Other than that, temperatures will be a bit milder, low to mid 30s in Southern New England with upper 20s in Northern New England. Sunday will also bring the slight chance of some snow showers, especially late in the day. There may be a few rain drops mixed in with the snow at times. This activity will be quite isolated. Look for temperatures to be a couple degrees higher than Saturday's highs.
Monday will likely be the best chance for a widespread precipitation event. Temperatures are going to be near or above freezing, so there might be some mixing. For the most part, this will be a heavy wet snow for much of New England. Accumulations still look to be on the low side, I'll provide more information on this later in the weekend. The path of this low has been jumping around a little bit in the forecast models, I'll wait for them to come to more of a consensus before I get too detailed.
The best news will be the temperature moderation that will come late next week and next weekend. It will be exactly what we need, and deserve. The whole atmospheric set up will flip for a few days bringing up southerly winds. This will force some warmer air to move in starting on Wednesday. Exactly how long this set up will last is still in question, but I expect it to stay mild through Saturday. During this time it also looks like it will be dry so we should see a good deal of melting. This crucial because in most places, there is 5+ inches of liquid sitting in the snow pack. If we were to get a warm rain, flooding would be a major concern. I know I keep harping on this, but if we have a March like we did last year, it's not going to be pretty for low lying areas and people near rivers and streams.
Thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
P.S. - I've added some share buttons to my blog, if you feel like someone else might like to get their weather from me, please share! Thanks!
Thursday, February 10, 2011
Still chilly now, milder air coming
We have a monster of a storm system passing south and east of New England today. This is providing some high cloudiness to the parts of Southern New England this morning. There looks like there might have been a few snow showers or flurries on the Cape earlier, but those have since moved to the east.
We will be under the influence of high pressure for today and tomorrow, this will keep the skies generally clear into the day on Saturday. We'll then turn our attention to a "clipper" system riding along the US/Canada border. A clipper refers to an Alberta Clipper. A low pressure system that develops in the Canadian Plains and skirts along the Northern United States, usually fast moving and lacking in moisture, particularly in the winter months. This will pass just north of New England over the weekend.
This should bring a few snow showers and flurries to the White and Green Mountains over the weekend, also bringing the chance of a few flurries or rain/snow showers to Southern New Hampshire and Northern Massachusetts. There will probably be some light accumulations in the Mountains, but nothing elsewhere. Temperatures this weekend in Southern New England should creep up over the freezing mark. Central and Southern New England will stay at or below freezing.
There is still some uncertainty with any storm systems next week, but there is one thing that I am pretty sure of. That is a warm up during the middle of next week. We probably couldn't ask for anything better, as right now it appears that the mild air will come in with dry weather, not wet. This will help with some melt, but won't lead to any flooding concerns. We really need to knock down this snow pack before spring arrives or there are going to be some major problems in terms of flooding.
That is all for now. Enjoy the cool, but pleasant conditions the next couple of days.
Thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
We will be under the influence of high pressure for today and tomorrow, this will keep the skies generally clear into the day on Saturday. We'll then turn our attention to a "clipper" system riding along the US/Canada border. A clipper refers to an Alberta Clipper. A low pressure system that develops in the Canadian Plains and skirts along the Northern United States, usually fast moving and lacking in moisture, particularly in the winter months. This will pass just north of New England over the weekend.
This should bring a few snow showers and flurries to the White and Green Mountains over the weekend, also bringing the chance of a few flurries or rain/snow showers to Southern New Hampshire and Northern Massachusetts. There will probably be some light accumulations in the Mountains, but nothing elsewhere. Temperatures this weekend in Southern New England should creep up over the freezing mark. Central and Southern New England will stay at or below freezing.
There is still some uncertainty with any storm systems next week, but there is one thing that I am pretty sure of. That is a warm up during the middle of next week. We probably couldn't ask for anything better, as right now it appears that the mild air will come in with dry weather, not wet. This will help with some melt, but won't lead to any flooding concerns. We really need to knock down this snow pack before spring arrives or there are going to be some major problems in terms of flooding.
That is all for now. Enjoy the cool, but pleasant conditions the next couple of days.
Thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
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