Aside from a weak cold front passing through New England today, conditions will remain quiet until we reach the weekend.
There is currently some snow falling across portions of Northern and Central New England, I don't expect it to amount to much. This snow is falling along a cold front that is pressing southward. Ahead of this front, if you are currently on the Southern side of it, temperatures should reach the 40s today. So if you are south and east of Manchester, you have a good chance of hitting the 40s today. North and west, 30s with temperatures holding steady or slowly dropping throughout the day. The winds will pick up from the northwest as the day progresses as well. Chilly air will be surging in behind this front, leading to a cold day tomorrow. As for precipitation today, I expect to see the majority of what is falling right now, dry up as it heads further south. Can't rule out a few flurries or light rain/snow showers for the rest of the day.
A dry but cold day tomorrow. When you factor in the wind, it will be down right frigid tomorrow, but we should see plenty of sunshine. Daytime highs will only be in the upper teens to low 20s.
Friday begins a period of transition that will lead to warmer temperatures for the weekend, but also some unsettled and potentially significant rain. A very slow moving cold front will set up, extending from Quebec down toward the Gulf Coast. Along this front, moisture from the Gulf of Mexico will be pulled into the mix producing a good deal of rain along this front. Since the front is moving so slowly, it really won't affect the whole of New England until Sunday night. The timing of this will likely change, but right now Monday looks like a complete washout. Northern New England may deal with the precipitation a bit earlier due to the orientation of the cold front. Right now I'm expecting mainly rain, with areas of mixing, especially during the overnight hours. This is going to be a prolonged event, starting Saturday and ending early Tuesday morning.
Flooding is going to be a serious, serious concern with this system. If we see a good deal of rain in the White Mountains on Saturday and Sunday. The run off and melting, mixed with potentially 3+ inches of rain across Southern New England on Monday and mild temperatures, spells serious flooding concerns. Obviously, it is still very early, but it is something to think about the next few days, particularly in Southeastern NH and Eastern MA where the rivers drain toward the Atlantic.
I'll have more on this event in the coming days. Thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
Showing posts with label cold. Show all posts
Showing posts with label cold. Show all posts
Wednesday, March 2, 2011
Tuesday, February 15, 2011
Brrr....
It's cold.
After the beautiful yesterday, the chill this morning was a bit shocking. Fortunately we don't have to deal with it for very long. It's still pretty breezy out there, these winds should gradually subside today. This will lead to very cold temperatures tonight, mainly in the single digits for most of the region. Bright sunshine will continue through today with clear skies overnight.
Tomorrow will be a transition day, from cold to mild. We will start very cold, so it won't get too warm, but we should get above freezing in most locations. Warm air will be rushing in aloft so a few passing clouds are expected, but we will stay dry.
All of this warm air is being forced north by a storm system developing in the Central United States. This is tapping into some warm air in the Southern Plains. Eventually this storm will pass to our north and bring back the cold, but not until the weekend. Thursday and Friday will also be mild, but how warm will heavily depend on how much sunshine we see. If we get as much sun as we saw yesterday afternoon, temperatures back into 50s is highly likely, I wouldn't be suprised to see a few spots hit 60 degrees. Conversely, if we are more heavy on the cloudiness, temperatures will only top off in the 40s. Either way, it's a nice break from the winter temperatures for a few days.
As for precipitation when this system passes by. There is likely going to be spotty shower activity on Friday. I feel that most of the rain will be in Northern and Central New England. This will be associated with the cold front as it approaches. The front will likely move through on Friday night. This will likely happen rather uneventfully, really only a shift in the wind as the front passes.
Saturday as the cold air rushes back in aloft, any heaiting we have at the surface will quickly rise up in the atmosphere and generate cloudiness, along with convective snow showers and squalls. These will be isolated and short lived as the energy that creates these will be from heating. So when it gets cloudy, that energy goes away. It should be cyclical through mid-morning through early evening.
Beyond Saturday we will stay chilly, though temperatures will probably be seasonable and then we need to start looking to a storm system moving through the Ohio Valley early next week. Depending on the path of this storm, we will either see snow or rain. Right now it looks like an all snow event. I'll keep you posted!
Thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
After the beautiful yesterday, the chill this morning was a bit shocking. Fortunately we don't have to deal with it for very long. It's still pretty breezy out there, these winds should gradually subside today. This will lead to very cold temperatures tonight, mainly in the single digits for most of the region. Bright sunshine will continue through today with clear skies overnight.
Tomorrow will be a transition day, from cold to mild. We will start very cold, so it won't get too warm, but we should get above freezing in most locations. Warm air will be rushing in aloft so a few passing clouds are expected, but we will stay dry.
All of this warm air is being forced north by a storm system developing in the Central United States. This is tapping into some warm air in the Southern Plains. Eventually this storm will pass to our north and bring back the cold, but not until the weekend. Thursday and Friday will also be mild, but how warm will heavily depend on how much sunshine we see. If we get as much sun as we saw yesterday afternoon, temperatures back into 50s is highly likely, I wouldn't be suprised to see a few spots hit 60 degrees. Conversely, if we are more heavy on the cloudiness, temperatures will only top off in the 40s. Either way, it's a nice break from the winter temperatures for a few days.
As for precipitation when this system passes by. There is likely going to be spotty shower activity on Friday. I feel that most of the rain will be in Northern and Central New England. This will be associated with the cold front as it approaches. The front will likely move through on Friday night. This will likely happen rather uneventfully, really only a shift in the wind as the front passes.
Saturday as the cold air rushes back in aloft, any heaiting we have at the surface will quickly rise up in the atmosphere and generate cloudiness, along with convective snow showers and squalls. These will be isolated and short lived as the energy that creates these will be from heating. So when it gets cloudy, that energy goes away. It should be cyclical through mid-morning through early evening.
Beyond Saturday we will stay chilly, though temperatures will probably be seasonable and then we need to start looking to a storm system moving through the Ohio Valley early next week. Depending on the path of this storm, we will either see snow or rain. Right now it looks like an all snow event. I'll keep you posted!
Thanks for reading!
-Jon K.
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