Severe threat

One round of showers and thunderstorms down, more expected later.

Today:  Periods of hazy sun, showers and thunderstorms possible at times, especially this afternoon.  Some storms could be severe with gusty winds and large hail.  Highs in the 90s south, 80s north.

Tonight:  Showers and thunderstorms diminish in the evening, becoming partly cloudy, lows in the 60s south, 50s north.

Tomorrow:  Partly sunny, cooler, highs in the 70s.

Tomorrow night:  Increasing clouds, lows in the 50s south, upper 30s north.

Saturday:  Cloudy with showers possible, highs in the upper 60s to near 70.

Discussion:

I will focus on today as the weather should impact just about everyone.  We've already had some rain and thunderstorms move through.  Some are still on-going across parts of Northern and Central New England.  Starting early this afternoon a new line of showers and thunderstorms will develop.  It appears that this will be a long line of storms that will cover nearly all of New England.  The biggest threat today will be damaging wind gusts primarily and secondary will be large hail.  It's going to be very warm so the threat of large hail is lower as the hail should be melting as it falls.  As the line of thunderstorms develop, I'm expecting to see the line bow out in a few places.  This is where the greatest threat of straight line wind gusts will be.  The timing of this should be after 2 PM in Western MA and then after 4 PM closer to the coast.  There will likely be a severe thunderstorm watch issued later today.

After today our weather will get cooler and also a bit more wet.  This weekend really isn't looking very good right now.  We won't have rain all the time, but on and off rain showers appear to be what we are going to see.  I'm not expecting a complete washout, but it's going to be hard to get any outdoor activities completed without seeing some raindrops.  I'm hoping that we will be able to salvage half of a day.  If that happens it is going to be on Sunday afternoon, we'll see.

Keep tabs on updated weather alerts and develops on facebook @ http://www.facebook.com/Jontheweatherman.  I'll update this as I can today with warnings and better timing of when the storms will arrive.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K.

A good day for thunderstorms

Severe weather is a good possibility today, on top of what has already happened.  The combination of high amounts of low level moisture, strong sunshine and an approaching cold front will kick off a few more rounds of showers and thunderstorms across the region this afternoon. 

I'm expecting two more rounds of showers and thunderstorms to develop today.  One during the middle of the afternoon and then another during the evening hours.  It looks like Western MA along with much of VT and NH will be under the bulls'eye today  These are the areas that have already had some rain this morning, which has added even more moisture to the atmosphere.  The Storm Prediction Center has put the region under a "Slight" risk for severe thunderstorms today.  I'm expecting that some locations will be under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch this afternoon, if not a Tornado Watch.  A Tornado Watch might be overkill, but conditions might be favorable enough for a few weak tornadoes to develop.  If not, there will likely be some rotation in some of the stronger storms today.  The biggest threats however for today are large hail and gusty winds. 

So just be careful this afternoon if you are going to be outside.  Keep an eye and ear to the sky and keep tabs on your favorite local new station.  You can also follow me on facebook @ http://www.facebook.com/Jontheweatherman  Go there and click Like.  I'll will update as often as I can with watches and warnings that are issued.  Work comes first however.  :-)

After today our weather will be much cooler and drier into the start of the upcoming weekend.  Sorry about change in blog today, I had a long one all typed out and then had browser problems and lost it all.

Thanks for reading!

-Jon K