Showing posts with label Storm update. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Storm update. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 29, 2012

No major changes to my forecast

No need to change my forecast totals much.  Not to brag or anything, but just about every other weather outlet has had to up their totals since yesterday.  I know I wasn't overly confident with the models, but relying on the models too much can burn you as a meteorologist.  What I will do this morning is try to narrow down exactly what areas will see how much snow with a bit more precision.  I broad brushed areas yesterday, I'll refine it this morning.  See image below of projected storm total through Thursday night:



The main contributor to snow totals will be overall duration of the event.  Locations in Southern NH and Northern MA will have snowfalling for over 24 hours.  It'll take a little while for the snow to start accumulating due to the ground not being completely frozen.  Once it does start sticking, it'll will start to pile up quickly, especially after midnight tonight.

More later, if necessary.

-Jon K.

Friday, February 25, 2011

Rain/Snow Line

The rain snow line has been making it's way north all morning long.  It is currently raining in Manchester, NH and it probably will be wavering back and forth for a few hours over Manchester.  I don't think it will make it much further north than it is right now.

As the day progresses, colder air will start to push its way back in.  This will likely start mid afternoon.  Southern New Hampshire and Northern MA will probably change back over to snow for a couple of hours before the precipitation tapers off this evening.  I don't expect much in the way of additional accumulation where the precipitation has changed over to rain, especially on roadways.  The roads will be wet and it will be hard for the snow to accumulate.  However, the roads will get slushy and that slush will eventually freeze overnight tonight.  Be careful out there!

Here is link to all the snow totals so far today:  Snow totals

More later...

-Jon K.